K3 Business Technology Group plc (LON:KBT) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 39% in the last week. But don’t envy holders — looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. In fact, the share price has declined rather badly, down some 66% in that time. So we’re hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. We’d err towards caution given the long term under-performance.
K3 Business Technology Group wasn’t profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we’ll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn’t make profits, we’d generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last five years K3 Business Technology Group saw its revenue shrink by 0.9% per year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. The share price decline of 11% compound, over five years, is understandable given the company is losing money, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. We don’t think anyone is rushing to buy this stock. Ultimately, it may be worth watching – should revenue pick up, the share price might follow.
The company’s revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 7.9% in the twelve months, K3 Business Technology Group shareholders did even worse, losing 58%. Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should “buy when there is blood on the streets”, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that K3 Business Technology Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can’t be ignored…
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.